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Challenge Team Interim Report

Team Number: 068 School Name: Santa Fe High School Area of Science: Climatology Project Title: What's the Temperature: A look at the future.

    Our team's goal for this project is to create a successful temperature model that can project future temperatures of a specific area through complex equations. This project is an extrapolation problem, which, simply put, means that we are generating a very large amount of data, generated by the equation, from a much smaller amount of data.

    The main problem we face in this program is creating the equation we plan to use in our program, and there are probably a few different ways we could go about forming one. The best possible scenario would be to find a program that could derive an equation from the data we input, but we couldn't find one, we could probably still make one.

    The area we plan to focus on has not yet been determined. However, it will most likely be a place that is under constant observation with a great deal of records. This way, we will have much more data and therefore we will be able to find more trends for our equation, making the model far more accurate. Also, we hope to find an area with seasonal climate to make the results a bit more interesting, although choosing an area with climate that has little variation might make it easier to create an accurate model.

    Hopefully, we will find a significant number of obvious patterns and trends in our data. Ideally, these will be accurately represented through our equation to give an accurate projection for temperatures over many years, or patterns that occur within each individual year. We feel that this is an important thing to keep in mind because people may be looking to get different things from these results, and we want to have a program that can provide useful information to any person whether that person wants an average temperature for the year 2050, or something more specific like what the average temperature will be in July five years from now.

    We plan to use C++ for all of the programming aspects of our project. The use of C++ is going to consist of creating a simple program with our equation and executing it. The program will most likely use ofstream so that we will have an actual file containing our data.

    We would like to figure out a way to graph the results. This would require a program with ifstream that could interpret the data and visually graph and connect the points. This would make the data far more usable since giving a bunch of numbers is hardly an effective way of proving a point.

    So far, most of our progress is in the development of our ideas. Our project has gone through many drastic changes concerning everything from where our data would come from to what we wanted to show from our data. However, we are definitely reaching a place in our development where we are getting a really good idea of what we want to do and how we want to go about doing it.

Team Members

Team Mail

• Evan Powell
• Ari Serim
• Noah Wilkinson

Sponsoring Teachers

• Anita Gerlach

Project Advisor(s)

• NO MENTOR YET