Statistical Modeling of The AIDS Virus


An excursion into the modeling of infectious diseases

Executive Summary

Introduction

Project Proposal

Analytical Methodology

Results

Conclusions

Future Work

References

Appendix 1
Understanding The Model


Appendix 2
Code, and Computations


Appendix 3
History of the AIDS Virus

References

1. John Sterman, John D. Sterman Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World, McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2000.

2. Douglas Downing, Jeff Clark, and Jeffrey Clark, "Forgotten Statistics: A Self-Teaching Refresher Course, Barron’s Educational Series, 1996.

3. Center For Disease Control and Prevention. HIV/AIDS Surveillance Report, 1-14 1987-2002.

4. Monthly National Population Estimates, http://www.census.gov/popest/national/NA-EST2004-01.html, January 20, 2005

5. Randy Dotinga, Genetic HIV Resistance Deciphered, http://www.wired.com/news/medtech/0,1286,66198,00.html, January 20, 2005

6. WHO HIV/AIDS Programme, http://www.who.int/hiv/en/, December 9, 2004.

7. "AIDS", http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AIDS, December 9, 2004

8. "AIDS", http://www.free-definition.com/AIDS.html, December 9, 2004.

9. Mirko D. Grmek, History of AIDS: Emergence and Origin of a Modern Pandemic, Princeton University Press, 1990




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